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Smoke on Cars
Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke shares his insights on macroeconomic trends, business cycles, demand and the economic factors influencing the automotive industry today.
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Smoke on Cars
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CAMIO
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Smoke On Cars
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Smoke on Cars
Commentary & Voices
Data Point
Economy & Trends
CAMIO
4 min read
Deflation and Fed’s Lack of Urgency Are Putting Durable Goods at Risk
05/01/2024
The Fed left interest rates and overall monetary policy unchanged today. We have now had six straight meetings with no change in rate policy. The Fed remains focused on a 2% target. Still, they appear to recognize that waiting could lead to even more economic slowing, which is ultimately the goal, with better balance of employment and inflation. We do not have new rate projections, but…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: April 30th
04/30/2024
The video below is part of a biweekly Auto Market Report series focusing on data and insights that provide a holistic view of the auto industry. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. Download this week’s presentation
Read Article
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
4 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
04/29/2024
Highlights Q1 GDP growth slowed more than forecast. Personal income increased month over month in March, but personal savings took a hit due to higher spending. While overall home sales are down year over year, new-home sales picked up strongly in March. Consumer sentiment has declined in April but remains up year over year. First Estimate of Q1 GDP Growth Slowed More Than Expected The first…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
4 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
04/22/2024
Highlights Retail sales accelerated in March, but category performance was mixed as the auto sector saw declines along with several other categories. New construction retreated in March, with total starts down 4.3% year over year. Single-family starts were higher, while multifamily starts were down. Existing home sales declined in March, reversing much of the jump in sales in February. Meanwhile, the existing home supply remains very…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: April 16th
04/16/2024
The video below is part of a biweekly Auto Market Report series focusing on data and insights that provide a holistic view of the auto industry. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. Download this week’s presentation
Read Article
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
4 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
04/15/2024
Highlights: Headline inflation continues to run hotter than expected. Access to auto credit improved in March, according to the Dealertrack Credit Availability Index, partially reversing the tightening observed over the prior three months. Auto loan performance saw mixed trends in March, as delinquencies declined but defaults increased. Most measures of consumer sentiment have declined so far in April. Headline Inflation Hits Highest Level Since September Headline…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
04/08/2024
Job growth in March accelerated and was stronger than expected. The three-month average for job creation is at the highest level in 11 months, while the unemployment rate declined. Wage growth accelerated modestly in March. The labor market remains strong. New-vehicle sales slowed in March despite growth in discounting and incentives. Used-vehicle sales improved in March and delivered stronger growth year over year, but the normal…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Cox Automotive Auto Market Report: April 2nd
04/02/2024
The video below is part of a biweekly Auto Market Report series focusing on data and insights that provide a holistic view of the auto industry. Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke leads our effort to translate data and trends into actionable insights. Download this week’s presentation
Read Article
Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
5 min read
Auto Market Weekly Summary
04/01/2024
The fourth-quarter real GDP was revised upwards to a 3.4% annualized gain, an increase from the 3.2% second estimate. Personal consumption was revised up to 3.3% from 3.0%. In February, income growth decelerated to a 0.3% gain, a decrease from 1.0% in January, which was driven by large increases in Social Security and Medicare payments. Meanwhile, consumer spending growth rebounded in February from weather disruptions in…
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Market Insights
Smoke on Cars
Economy & Trends
1 min read
Q1 2024 Cox Automotive Industry Insights Webcast Replay Available
03/29/2024
Below is a replay of the Q1 2024 Cox Automotive Industry Insights and Sales Forecast call, which was held on Thursday, March 28. Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and the Industry Insights team provided an overview of the U.S. automotive industry through the first quarter, revisited Cox Automotive’s Forecast: 2024, the major themes that are expected to shape the year, and updated the full-year sales forecasts.…
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